One of my favorite books is Worldchanging: A User’s Guide for the 21st Century. The book is edited by Alex Steffen, designed by Sagmeister Inc. and with an introduction by Bruce Sterling. With a cast like this you can’t go wrong. (Yes, you should Google these people.) One of the underlying themes from Worldchanging is the idea of the bright green future. The premise is that society’s current focus on sustainability and solving our mounting environmental, economic and social issues will lead to a new era of prosperity - hence we will change the world.
It’s not too difficult to connect the dots and understand that the role of the built environment is central to this bright green future. On one hand the built environment is a significant sustainable design challenge and opportunity because of the many impacts the built environment have on the environment, the economy and on our health and well-being. On the other hand the buildings we are designing right now will live in this future. What can they contribute in the long run and how do they help us invent a bright green future?
Sustainable design is not just smart design that reduces environmental impacts while enhancing social and economic benefits. Although this is important, sustainable design is also about creating a sustainable future. With the built environment the long term view is as important as a design’s energy consumption model and metrics. The question now goes beyond just how much energy or water might be saved to questions about how the building will stay relevant and valuable in a rapidly changing future.
Stewart Brand began to tackle this issue with his book, How Buildings Learn. Perhaps the most compelling chapter is Chapter 11: The Scenario-buffered Building, where he begins to outline how architects and planners can use scenario planning to strategically consider the future in the planning and designing of the built environment and create “scenario-buffered buildings”. Steward Brand is now moved to consulting for organizations about the future as part of the Global Business Network.
Scenario planning – or future-mapping, as RNL is coining it- is a powerful tool and when taken in the context of sustainable design for the built environment it adds an important element that is missing in much of the industry’s dialogue on sustainable design. After all, sustainability is about creating an abundant future within the limits of one earth. Our designs should be creating that bright green future.
Look for more on future-mapping and its strategic application within the Design for One Earth framework in the coming weeks.